Capturing attractive yields amid shifting central bank actions
- The US economy remained resilient during the second quarter even as it showed signs of slowing. Inflation moderated, though progress fell short of expectations.
- A data-dependent Federal Reserve (Fed) pushed out its forecast for lowering interest rates as it reduced the number of expected rate cuts in 2024.
- Global growth has diverged, and we expect this trend to continue.
- As inflation moderates globally, some central banks have begun cutting rates.
- Resilient growth in the US should be favourable for risk assets, and a soft-landing scenario may support current valuations.
- Our highest conviction ideas call for a steepening of the yield curve and positions in agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) and credit sectors.