• Bond yields rose during the fourth quarter as the market reduced its expectations for future rate cuts from the Fed.
• Against a backdrop of solid economic data, the Fed signalled fewer cuts in 2025 given its expectations for slightly higher core PCE inflation. Meanwhile, other central banks continued to ease monetary policy.
• We expect global growth to remain positive, albeit at a slower pace, and that the US will likely drive most of this growth as it remains more resilient than other developed economies.
• Our key convictions for a core bond portfolio include a preference for diversified sources of income from multiple credit sectors and positioning for a further steepening of the yield curve.