April 15, 2024
Quarterly macro and market insights from Capital Group’s fixed income team


The statements expressed represent perspectives from Capital Fixed Income Investors, as at 31 March 2024. The views of individual portfolio managers and analysts may differ. © 2024 Capital Group. All rights reserved. Data as at 31 March 2024, and attributed to Capital Group / Bloomberg Index Services Ltd, unless otherwise stated.
- Stronger economic data in the US drove investors to recalibrate expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts in 2024, pushing Treasury yields higher in the first quarter.
- Growth is diverging across regions, a trend we expect will persist going forward.
- Most central banks have likely concluded their rate-hiking cycles and their next move may be to cut interest rates, but the timing and extent of cuts remain highly uncertain.
- Fixed income valuations largely reflect a soft landing, and we are looking to construct portfolios that reflect balanced risks across excess return drivers and diverse macroeconomic outcomes.
- Our highest conviction ideas call for a steepening of the yield curve and positions in agency mortgage-backed securities and credit sectors.